Showing posts with label Boston Red Sox. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Boston Red Sox. Show all posts

Sunday, April 10, 2016

The Last First Day


Tuesday's opener was perhaps bittersweet for Boston's David Ortiz, who announced this past offseason that 2016 would be his last. However, it was also a triumphant one for the 40 year old slugger; who has been a staple of the past decade's leaderboards. In the 9th inning against Cleveland's Trevor Bauer, Ortiz launched a two home run into the right field bleachers to help seal a 6-2 victory. The blast was the 504th of his 20 year career; tying Hall of Fame member Eddie Murray for 26th on the all time list.

There have been several instances in recent memory when Ortiz's performance appeared to be severely declining. He obviously was no longer driving in over 130 runs, as he did during his peak in the mid 2000's; but Ortiz had spurts where he played like a shell of his former self. In 2015, "Big Papi" answered his critics by following a dreadful first half by his standards (.231 Batting Average/15 Home Runs/43 RBI over 340 plate appearances) with a spectacular second half (.325 BA/22 HR/65 RBI in just 274 appearances). 

After concluding 2016's Spring Training with just 4 hits in 35 at bats, it was fair to bring up the same questions once more. But on a frigid 34 degree day in Cleveland, he managed to silence those critics for what may be the final time. "When the lights go on, Papi goes on," he told the media after the game.

On the day of his 40th birthday, November 18th; Ortiz announced via The Players' Tribune his impending retirement after the 2016 season. Much like Chipper Jones in 2012, Mariano Rivera in 2013, and Derek Jeter and Paul Konerko in 2014, Ortiz will more than likely be serenaded for all of his career accomplishments by the Red Sox and his closest competitors over the course of the season. The fanfare and spotlight is warranted, but the ultimate question diehard baseball fans must eventually answer is whether he belongs in the Baseball Hall of Fame or not.

From an offensive statistical standpoint, it's easy to see Ortiz giving an induction speech in Cooperstown one day. However, the catch to his Hall campaign is that he has played a whopping 1888 of his 2258 games as a Designated Hitter; the most controversial offensive position as far as comparisons go. 

The DH position was instilled in baseball's American League in 1973 to replace the pitcher in the lineup. By allowing this, pitchers were able to focus on what they were brought to their respective teams to do; rather than possibly embarrass themselves at the plate. At the same time, older players known for their offensive production were able to stay in the lineup while not having to play in the field. 

The Yankees' Ron Blomberg was the American League's First DH

Ortiz's defensive weaknesses forced him into the full time designated hitter role when he signed with Boston in 2003, and he's held the position ever since. He has become the most prolific and lethal DH the game has seen since the position's debut with the possible exception of Seattle's Edgar Martinez. But since he's mostly played half of every game, how could he be considered for the Hall of Fame?


Former White Sox great Frank Thomas played approximately 56% of his career at DH, and was elected into the Hall of Fame in 2014. Meanwhile, over 87% of Ortiz's professional plate appearances came in the DH role. The difference in this percentage is crucial to Ortiz's candidacy because Thomas proved he could be relied on to play in the field when called upon. Playing only 277 games at first base in 20 seasons makes Ortiz a one dimensional player: a very good one, but still lacking the skills necessary of being an all around ballplayer.


The Hall has kept out Martinez for his first seven years on the ballot thus far. Because of a rule change in 2014 that effectively reduced candidate's appearances on the ballot from 15 years down to 10, Martinez's time is running out. Ortiz may have better power numbers than the Mariners fan favorite, but the jury is still out for whether DH's will get the same treatment as other dominant position players of their time.

Being a one dimensional star has not always been an issue for Hall of Fame's voting process. Perhaps the most famous example is Ozzie Smith; the former St. Louis Cardinals shortstop. Smith was a slightly above average offensive player at best but shined brightest in the field. "The Wizard" spent much of his 19 year career dazzling fans with highlight reel plays; charisma; and, of course, his celebratory backflips. Smith cruised into Cooperstown in 2002 on his first year on the ballot; thus proving you don't always have to be a five tool talent to receive baseball's biggest honor.

While Smith was making acrobatic plays to keep fans on the edge of their seats, Ortiz was doing the same with his bat. After all, he played an integral part of the Red Sox's 2004 World Series Championship; which broke their infamous 86 year drought otherwise known as "The Curse of the Bambino". He batted .409 with 5 home runs and 21 RBI throughout the 2004 Postseason while batting in the heart of the Sox's lineup. His ability to perform under pressure was rewarded by the Red Sox in 2006, when he was given a plaque proclaiming him to be their greatest clutch hitter in franchise history. Ortiz also was crucial for the Sox in 2007 and 2013, when they won their 7th and 8th World Series titles.

Ortiz crossing home plate after his clutch 2004 ALCS Game 4 Walkoff Home Run

It hasn't always been smooth sailing for Ortiz, which leads to another critical component of his case. In 2009, a New York Times article cited he and fellow Boston star Manny Ramirez were part of a group of over 100 players who tested positive for Performance Enhancing Drugs (PED's). The MLB Players Association quickly shot down the article, and Ortiz has slammed them ever since for attempting to hurt his reputation of being a "clean" player. Depending on what side you choose to believe, the fact that his name was mentioned may keep him out of the Hall until more is known (similar to what Jeff Bagwell has been facing).

But when David Ortiz comes to bat for the final time, baseball fans will cherish his memories just as they would with any of today's modern day sports icons. Whether you love him or hate him, he will go down in history as one of the finest baseball has ever seen. The Hall of Fame may not agree at first, but his statistical comparison to Frank Thomas makes his case all the more interesting. 

Until his judgment day comes, it's been a hell of a ride Papi.

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

2015 American League East Preview + Predictions!

Hey guys, Drew back here! I decided this year to let my 2015 season predictions be known to you all; simply because I have a lot of fun talking baseball and taking guesses at who will come home with the title. We're going to make this an 8 part series consisting of previews for each of the 6 divisions, a playoff prediction, and a season awards post. I hope you enjoy this, because it will hopefully complement my Spring Training TTM's (3 back already!) throughout a month I need to save as much money as possible during. We'll kick this off with my team's division, the AL East.

2015 AL East Standings Prediction:


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1 - Toronto Blue Jays
X-Factors: Marcus Stroman, Aaron Sanchez, Drew Hutchison

I know what you're saying: the Blue Jays never seem to put it all together. They took on contracts of the Marlins flop signings from a few years back, and so far it hasn't made a difference. This offseason Canada's team added perhaps the top pitch framing catcher in Russell Martin and an excellent two way third baseman in Josh Donaldson to their lineup already fully loaded with mega sluggers Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion, and speed demon Jose Reyes. Martin should help improve the pitching staff to an extent, but I'm counting on a big year from 23 year old righty Marcus Stroman to take it to the next level. Their bullpen needs to improve as well, but rookie Aaron Sanchez could be a difference maker for their entire season if he gets an opportunity to close. Overall, the lineup is just too good to avoid at this point, and with a few solid seasons out of young pitchers; veterans RA Dickey and Mark Buehrle can show the Jays how to move forward into the playoffs.

**UPDATE: It appears that I have cursed the Blue Jays and poor Marcus Stroman, who tore his ACL during fielding practice and will miss the entire 2015 season. With the value I put in Stroman's arm leading Toronto to a division title, I will now switch out the Blue Jays and the Red Sox; the Jays winning a Wild Card spot and the Sox taking the division. It's my blog, and my predictions after all, right?**

2 - Boston Red Sox
X-Factors: Wade Miley, Xander Bogaerts, Rusney Castillo

I don't like to rank the Red Sox high, but this only seems logical. They have had some serious ups and downs over the past several seasons; finishing last in 2012, winning the World Series in 2013, and finishing last again in 2014. They have an enormous surplus of outfielders at the moment, and it is left to be seen if they are able to turn some of those players into a staff ace, which appears to be their largest weakness on the roster at the moment. They made strides adding Rick Porcello, Wade Miley, and Justin Masterson to their rotation, but I think they will need to do more before they top Toronto in the division. Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval were added to support the aging David Ortiz and downward trending players Dustin Pedroia, Shane Victorino, and Mike Napoli. It remains to be seen how Hanley will fare in left field since he's always been an infielder, but Fenway Park shouldn't give him much trouble.

3 - New York Yankees
X-Factors: Didi Gregorius, Nathan Eovaldi, C.C. Sabathia

I put my Yankees third on this ranking, and that may be a bit of a hometown discount. I like their moves this offseason acquiring Andrew Miller, Didi Gregorius, and Nathan Eovaldi; along with resigning Chase Headley, but I still don't think it was enough to put them over the top. The pitching rotation is loaded with potential, but even more so injury potential. Masahiro Tanaka is one bad pitch away from missing the next calendar year due to Tommy John Surgery, and although C.C. started eating big macs again I don't see him reviving his entire career (although I do see an improvement). The bullpen will be excellent as usual, but an aging, struggling lineup and scary rotation leaves the Yankees out of the playoffs for the third consecutive year in my opinion. I would love to see them prove me wrong, but with the roster assembled compared to other teams in the division, I find it a bit far fetched. And no, there's absolutely no reason to believe that 39 year old injury prone Alex Rodriguez will make any sort of difference, let alone be relevant next year.

4 - Baltimore Orioles
X-Factors: Chris Davis, Kevin Gausman

The Orioles failed to make a splash this offseason in free agency to replace last year's 40 home run slugger Nelson Cruz and mainstay Nick Markakis; who left for Seattle and Atlanta, respectively. However, they will be getting Matt Wieters back behind the plate to fill the void he left when he had Tommy John Surgery early in the 2014 season. Chris Davis received a prescription to use an ADHD medicine that he was suspended for using last year, and Manny Machado will hopefully make it through the season healthy. There are definitely question marks surrounding the birds, but Buck Showalter is the best manager in the division and should be able to make this team a contender. I think 96 wins again is pushing the bar too high, but I can see them making a case for a wildcard spot if all goes well.

5 - Tampa Bay Rays
X-Factors: Steven Souza Jr., Kevin Kiermaier

The Rays are a new team in 2015, now without Joe Maddon under the helm for the first time since 2005 and also without GM Andrew Friedman, who fled for the Dodgers over the offseason. Former catcher Kevin Cash is taking the reins of the baseball genius, and he doesn't have nearly as much to work with this year. Ben Zobrist, Jeremy Hellickson, Matt Joyce, and Yunel Escobar found new homes, and were replaced with players such as Asdrubal Cabrera and Steven Souza Jr. (of Jordan Zimmermann no-hitter saving catch fame). Evan Longoria seems to be declining every season, and their young rotation has a lot to prove before Tampa Bay can find their way back to the top of this division. Alex Cobb does appear to have the best chance of any AL East pitcher to dominate 2015, as long as he shies away from comebacker line drives.

Division MVP: Josh Donaldson
Division Cy Young: Alex Cobb
Playoff Teams: Toronto, Boston (Wild Card)

This division may contain the biggest question marks of any division in the game this upcoming season, but I see it playing out competitively. I don't think there will be a team with well over 90 wins like Baltimore accomplished in 2014, because the parity in baseball seems to be stronger than ever. I honestly would not even be surprised if Tampa Bay found a way to crawl out of the cellar and have a great season, because somehow they never seem to be out of the hunt. There is a chance that the Yankees could finish last, but I want to show some faith in my team and I think 3rd place is a more than fair projection.

I picked Josh Donaldson to have the best MVP chances out of any AL East hitter, but it really could be Bautista or Encarnacion. I just feel that Donaldson will have a lot of RBI opportunities hitting behind them in the lineup, and his defensive prowess balances out his game better than it does for the other two. As I said before, I like Alex Cobb a lot in 2015, even if the Rays aren't a competitive team, thus I chose him as the Cy Young pick for the division.

Agree? Disagree? Agree to Disagree? Leave a comment below, let's talk some baseball.

See Ya!